菠萝视频

Media Appearances

• 菠萝视频 University political scientist Josh Clinton, who led a task force analyzing how surveys performed in the 2020 election cycle, said he was worried that the apparent mismeasurement could amplify its possible cause: public distrust of polling and of political institutions writ large.

  November 20th, 2024

• The polls 鈥渨ere better than they were in the past, but they still kind of fundamentally understated Trump in a way that I think that the public won鈥檛 find particularly satisfactory,鈥� Josh Clinton, a professor of political science and co-director of the 菠萝视频 Poll at 菠萝视频 University, tells me. 鈥淪o to say that you got close, but you still understated Trump is like, close but no cigar.鈥�

  November 12th, 2024

• 鈥淧ollsters鈥攇iven the crudeness of the data available to them鈥攖hey weren鈥檛 horrible this time,鈥� said Josh Clinton, a political scientist at 菠萝视频 University, who led a polling trade association鈥檚 postmortem in 2020. That look back found that pre-election polls were the most inaccurate in 40 years.

  November 7th, 2024

• Recent polls in the seven core swing states show an astonishingly tight presidential race: 124 out of the last 321 polls conducted in those states 鈥� almost 39% 鈥� show margins of 1 percentage point or less.

  October 30th, 2024

• So how should the polls be read? Even pollsters urge caution. Josh Clinton, who co-directs the 菠萝视频 poll, says that 鈥渋n some sense, it鈥檚 background noise鈥�. At this stage, he notes, 鈥渋t鈥檚 nearly impossible to know what鈥檚 going on鈥�. He points to the narrow margins between Messrs Biden and Trump and the unresolved issues from 2020. Others are upbeat. 鈥淚 think the state of polling is vibrant right now,鈥� says Don Levy, the director of polling at Siena College, 鈥渁nd the consumer of polls has a lot to look at.鈥�

  December 31st, 2023

• The 2020 polls overstated Democratic support 鈥渋n every type of contest we looked at: the national popular vote, the state-level presidential vote as well as senatorial and gubernatorial elections,鈥欌�� said Joshua D. Clinton, a professor of political science at 菠萝视频 University who led the review for the American Association for Public Opinion 菠萝视频.

  May 13th, 2021

• Josh Clinton, a political science professor at 菠萝视频 University, also has explored how political differences influence attitudes toward the pandemic. Like Gadarian, he has found Republicans and Democrats have significantly different worldviews that do not appear to be changing amid the growing threat.

  November 19th, 2020

• Meanwhile, Joshua Clinton, professor of political science at 菠萝视频 University, told CNBC that things would 鈥減robably revert back to normal鈥� once the crisis was over. 鈥淭here might be a slight shift, but I don鈥檛 think that you鈥檒l see a grand shift in how people think about the structure of the state and the relationship of the state to their own lives,鈥� he said. 鈥淟ooking back historically at other events, it doesn鈥檛 seem to be the case that people鈥檚 exposure to government programs or government intervention really systematically shifts them in fundamental ways.鈥�

  April 20th, 2020

• Sixty-eight percent of registered voters think the coronavirus outbreak will have a big impact on election turnout in the U.S., a new poll shows 鈥� and nearly 4 in 10 support delaying the November presidential election until the pandemic is under control.

  April 14th, 2020

• "The parties are private organizations and so they can do whatever they want," Joshua Clinton, co-director of the Center for the Study of Democratic Institutions at 菠萝视频 University, told Fortune. "They're kind of a really unique institution in our society because on the one hand they're like private clubs, but on the other hand, they run our government."

  October 10th, 2019